AcademyTrack III
Bias and Reasoning
Premises, base rates, probability language, and the errors that survive good intentions.
Faculty
Analytic Standards
US Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Analytic tradecraft standards, sourcing, expressions of likelihood and confidence
The standards are taught as a writing and reasoning discipline that any investigator can adopt. Nothing about the institution that publishes them is endorsed or defended here.
An institution can hold good standards and still fail to follow them. The 2005 review of the pre-war Iraq assessments is taught in this section for that reason.